Isidro Metapánvs
Cacahuatique
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 9/27/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Isidro Metapán · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Isidro Metapán 1-0 Cacahuatique, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Isidro Metapán 2-0 Cacahuatique
Original prediction
Isidro Metapán
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 62.3% | 58.1% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.5% | 25.1% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 6.27 | 14.2% | 16.9% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Projected Score
Isidro Metapán 1–0 Cacahuatique
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Isidro Metapán
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Isidro Metapán has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40