Isidro Metapánvs
Atletico Balboa
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 10/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Isidro Metapán · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Isidro Metapán 1-0 Atletico Balboa, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Isidro Metapán 3-2 Atletico Balboa
Original prediction
Isidro Metapán
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 62.5% | 65.8% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 22.7% | 22.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 6.05 | 14.8% | 11.5% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Projected Score
Isidro Metapán 1–0 Atletico Balboa
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Isidro Metapán
Probability
65.8%
Model confidence
65.8%
Isidro Metapán has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60