Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ishøj · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ishøj are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Næsby are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Næsby hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the 3. Division, while Ishøj holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ishøj
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Ishøj has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40