Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Holstebro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ishøj are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Holstebro are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Holstebro hold a 47.1-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 76.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the 3. Division, while Holstebro holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Holstebro
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Holstebro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80