Ischiavs
Martina Franca
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone H · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Martina Franca · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ischia 1-1 Martina Franca
Original prediction
Martina Franca
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.39 | 26.6% | 35.4% | 8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.5% | 28.1% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 46.9% | 36.6% | -10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Martina Franca
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Martina Franca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40