GGOALVIO

Azerbaijan · Birinci Dasta · 10/5/2023, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

İrəvan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

İrəvan are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Araz Saatlı are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 4.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and İrəvan hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (37.6 v 20.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.6% in the Birinci Dasta, while İrəvan holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

İrəvan

Probability

57.6%

Model confidence

57.6%

İrəvan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

İrəvanWDW

GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
Araz SaatlıLLL

GF 0 · GA 13 · avg 0.00/4.33

BTTS 0/3O2.5 2/3
İrəvanAraz Saatlı
43.2Attack34.6
30.9Defence1.2
37.0Form16.0
37.6Power20.1
2.33xG1.25
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