Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Irtysh are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ulytau are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulytau hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60