Irtyshvs
Kyzyl-Zhar
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 10/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Irtysh · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Irtysh 0-2 Kyzyl-Zhar
Original prediction
Irtysh
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 45.8% | 41.9% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.7% | 29.0% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.5% | 29.1% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–014%
Predicted outcome
Irtysh
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Irtysh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80