GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 5/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kairat Almaty · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Irtysh are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kairat Almaty are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kairat Almaty hold a 32.1-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 73.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.5% in the Premier League, while Kairat Almaty holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kairat Almaty

Probability

67.5%

Model confidence

67.5%

Kairat Almaty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IrtyshLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kairat AlmatyLDWDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
IrtyshKairat Almaty
33.3Attack66.7
53.3Defence76.2
28.3Form76.2
41.3Power73.4
0.49xG1.88
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