Premier LeaguePremier League
Sunday, 19 July 202615:00Updated today
Irtysh

Irtysh

Home
LD
vs
15:00
FC Astana

FC Astana

Away
LW
Centralnyj Stadion
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
FC Astana(39%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
Irtysh
34%
Draw
27%
FC Astana
39%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Irtysh
9
FC Astana
34
Defence
Irtysh
82
FC Astana
27
Momentum
Irtysh
17
FC Astana
50
Danger (xG)
Irtysh
0.00
FC Astana
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Irtysh)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (FC Astana)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Irtysh)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (FC Astana)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
IrtyshIrtysh
LDLD
FC AstanaFC Astana
LWWWD

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Irtysh34%
Draw27%
FC Astana39%

FC Astana leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Irtysh head into this in Premier League fixture at Centralnyj Stadion in mixed form (LD), while FC Astana arrive in mixed form (LW). Irtysh have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for FC Astana over 2 games.

The model rates Irtysh's attack at 9/100 against a 27/100 FC Astana defence, and FC Astana's attack at 34/100 against a 82/100 Irtysh backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Irtysh have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 3 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per home match. FC Astana have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Irtysh and FC Astana in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects FC Astana to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Irtysh 3419%, Draw 2670%, FC Astana 3911%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Irtysh

Irtysh

L
vs Zhenys
11 Jul 2026
01
D
@ Kaisar
5 Jul 2026
00
L
vs Kaisar
28 Jun 2026
12
D
vs Yelimay Semey
16 May 2026
22
FC Astana

FC Astana

L
vs Dinamo Tirana
16 Jul 2026
14
W
vs Aktobe
12 Jul 2026
32
W
@ Dinamo Tirana
9 Jul 2026
10
W
vs Zhenys
3 Jul 2026
10
D
@ Zhenys
28 Jun 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Irtysh vs FC Astana?

GoalVio's model predicts FC Astana to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Irtysh vs FC Astana?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Irtysh vs FC Astana?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Irtysh vs FC Astana?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more