Irtysh Omskvs
Tyumen
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tyumen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 0-3 (11%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Irtysh Omsk 1-2 Tyumen
Original prediction
Tyumen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 18:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.72 | 24.2% | 11.6% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.8% | 15.6% | -9.2 pts |
| Away | 1.76 | 51.1% | 72.8% | 21.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.0–311%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Tyumen
Probability
72.8%
Model confidence
72.8%
Tyumen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60