GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 8/6/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Irtysh Omsk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rotor Volgograd are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Rotor Volgograd hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 54.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Second League A - Division A Gold, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.4%

Model confidence

50.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Irtysh OmskWDWLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Rotor VolgogradDDDLL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Irtysh OmskRotor Volgograd
27.8Attack38.9
72.2Defence68.5
42.6Form51.9
49.2Power54.8
0.55xG0.60
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