Irtysh Omskvs
Dinamo Stavropol
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 10/25/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Stavropol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Irtysh Omsk 2-3 Dinamo Stavropol
Original prediction
Dinamo Stavropol
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 October 2026 at 10:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 41.8% | 31.0% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.4% | 24.6% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 3.03 | 29.8% | 44.5% | 14.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Stavropol
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Dinamo Stavropol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60