Irtysh Omskvs
Dinamo Stavropol
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 9/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Stavropol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Irtysh Omsk 0-1 Dinamo Stavropol
Original prediction
Dinamo Stavropol
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.03 | 22.4% | 32.1% | 9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.1% | 26.1% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.79 | 50.4% | 41.7% | -8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Stavropol
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Dinamo Stavropol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 18 · avg 0.40/3.60
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00