Irtysh Omskvs
Dinamo Moskva II
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 9/27/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Irtysh Omsk · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Irtysh Omsk 4-0 Dinamo Moskva II
Original prediction
Irtysh Omsk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 36.4% | 39.8% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.2% | 26.6% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 34.4% | 33.7% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Irtysh Omsk
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Irtysh Omsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 16 · avg 0.20/3.20
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80