Ironi Tiberiasvs
Maccabi Netanya
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 10/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Netanya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ironi Tiberias 1-1 Maccabi Netanya
Original prediction
Maccabi Netanya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.92 | 18.7% | 27.1% | 8.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 22.0% | 27.3% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 1.55 | 59.3% | 45.6% | -13.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Netanya
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Maccabi Netanya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20