GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 7/28/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ironi Tiberias · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ironi Tiberias are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Maccabi Bnei Raina are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Maccabi Bnei Raina hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (34.2 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.8% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Ironi Tiberias holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ironi Tiberias

Probability

34.8%

Model confidence

34.8%

Ironi Tiberias has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ironi TiberiasWWWLW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Maccabi Bnei RainaLDLLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ironi TiberiasMaccabi Bnei Raina
41.7Attack26.7
25.0Defence60.0
25.0Form20.0
34.2Power38.7
1.35xG1.29
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