Ironi Tiberiasvs
Hapoel Katamon
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 9/15/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ironi Tiberias · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ironi Tiberias 2-2 Hapoel Katamon
Original prediction
Ironi Tiberias
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 33.0% | 41.9% | 8.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 29.3% | 26.7% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 37.7% | 31.3% | -6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Ironi Tiberias
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Ironi Tiberias has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80