Ironi Neshervs
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/18/2026, 8:50:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ironi Nesher · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ironi Nesher 5-1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
Original prediction
Ironi Nesher
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 49.5% | 36.1% | -13.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.3% | 28.8% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 24.1% | 35.1% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Ironi Nesher
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Ironi Nesher has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80