Ironi Neshervs
Beitar Nahariya
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/30/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ironi Nesher · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ironi Nesher 4-1 Beitar Nahariya
Original prediction
Ironi Nesher
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 43.1% | 40.1% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.4% | 28.0% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 29.5% | 32.0% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Ironi Nesher
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Ironi Nesher has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.25