Ironi Modi'invs
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 8/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ironi Modi'in · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ironi Modi'in 1-1 Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Original prediction
Ironi Modi'in
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 36.4% | 38.6% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.2% | 27.4% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.57 | 35.4% | 34.0% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.22 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Ironi Modi'in
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Ironi Modi'in has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00