GGOALVIO

Israel · Liga Leumit · 10/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maccabi Bnei Raina · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Ironi Modi'in 0-6 Maccabi Bnei Raina

Original prediction

Maccabi Bnei Raina

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.8831.2%36.6%5.5 pts
Draw3.4026.4%23.7%-2.7 pts
Away2.1142.4%39.7%-2.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–28%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

Maccabi Bnei Raina

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Maccabi Bnei Raina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ironi Modi'inWLWLL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Maccabi Bnei RainaDDLLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ironi Modi'inMaccabi Bnei Raina
50.0Attack46.7
43.3Defence53.3
36.7Form46.7
44.7Power50.7
1.48xG1.48
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