Ironi Modi'invs
Hapoel Afula
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 10/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Afula · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ironi Modi'in 1-2 Hapoel Afula
Original prediction
Hapoel Afula
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 32.3% | 28.8% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.8% | 22.6% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 39.9% | 48.6% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Afula
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Hapoel Afula has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00