GGOALVIO

Israel · Liga Leumit · 9/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bnei Yehuda · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Ironi Modi'in 2-4 Bnei Yehuda

Original prediction

Bnei Yehuda

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home5.0817.9%25.7%7.8 pts
Draw3.9323.2%25.5%2.4 pts
Away1.5458.9%48.8%-10.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-10.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.0–110%
  3. 3.1–29%

Predicted outcome

Bnei Yehuda

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Bnei Yehuda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ironi Modi'inDDWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bnei YehudaDWWWD

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ironi Modi'inBnei Yehuda
41.7Attack83.3
66.7Defence83.3
41.7Form83.3
50.2Power82.6
1.07xG1.58
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