Ironi Modi'invs
Ashdod
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 9/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ashdod · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ironi Modi'in 1-3 Ashdod
Original prediction
Ashdod
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.38 | 14.0% | 18.1% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.3% | 21.1% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.38 | 64.7% | 60.9% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Ashdod
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
60.9%
Ashdod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ironi Modi'inLLDDW
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AshdodWWWWW
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Ironi Modi'inAshdod
50.0Attack77.8
38.9Defence72.2
27.8Form83.3
39.9Power76.7
1.04xG2.31