Ironi Kiryat Shmonavs
Maccabi Haifa
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 9/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Haifa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ironi Kiryat Shmona 0-4 Maccabi Haifa
Original prediction
Maccabi Haifa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.60 | 25.3% | 33.8% | 8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.7% | 25.9% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.86 | 49.1% | 40.4% | -8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Haifa
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Maccabi Haifa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20