Ironi Kiryat Shmonavs
Ironi Tiberias
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ironi Tiberias · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ironi Kiryat Shmona 2-0 Ironi Tiberias
Original prediction
Ironi Tiberias
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.9% | 35.9% | -11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.1% | 27.9% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.51 | 26.1% | 36.3% | 10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Ironi Tiberias
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Ironi Tiberias has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20