GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 8/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ironi Kiryat Shmona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ironi Kiryat Shmona are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Hapoel Tel Aviv are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ironi Kiryat Shmona hold a 42.6-point power-rating edge (87.9 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.4% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Ironi Kiryat Shmona holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Probability

61.1%

Model confidence

10.4%

Ironi Kiryat Shmona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ironi Kiryat ShmonaWWWWL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel Tel AvivWDWDL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ironi Kiryat ShmonaHapoel Tel Aviv
66.7Attack66.7
91.7Defence33.3
100.0Form33.3
87.9Power45.3
2.15xG1.03
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