Ironi Beit Shemeshvs
Tzeirey Tira
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ironi Beit Shemesh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ironi Beit Shemesh 3-1 Tzeirey Tira
Original prediction
Ironi Beit Shemesh
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 46.7% | 37.2% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.1% | 27.8% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 27.2% | 34.9% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Ironi Beit Shemesh
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Ironi Beit Shemesh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00