Ironi Beit Shemeshvs
Nordia Jerusalem
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ironi Beit Shemesh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ironi Beit Shemesh 1-0 Nordia Jerusalem
Original prediction
Ironi Beit Shemesh
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 60.6% | 48.3% | -12.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.15 | 21.5% | 25.6% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 4.97 | 17.9% | 26.1% | 8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Ironi Beit Shemesh
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Ironi Beit Shemesh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/2.67
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00