GGOALVIO

Israel · Liga Alef · 9/9/2026, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ironi Beit Shemesh · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Ironi Beit Shemesh 1-4 Kfar Saba 1928

Original prediction

Ironi Beit Shemesh

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.8331.6%37.7%6.1 pts
Draw3.1528.3%29.0%0.6 pts
Away2.2340.1%33.3%-6.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Ironi Beit Shemesh

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

Ironi Beit Shemesh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ironi Beit ShemeshL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Kfar Saba 1928LLDLW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ironi Beit ShemeshKfar Saba 1928
50.0Attack42.4
50.0Defence53.0
50.0Form43.9
50.0Power47.7
1.41xG1.07
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