Ironi Beit Shemeshvs
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/23/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ironi Beit Shemesh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ironi Beit Shemesh 5-0 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Original prediction
Ironi Beit Shemesh
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 44.6% | 39.7% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.4% | 24.9% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.0% | 35.4% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Ironi Beit Shemesh
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Ironi Beit Shemesh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60