Ironi Baka El Garbiyavs
Ironi Nesher
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/9/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ironi Baka El Garbiya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1-0 Ironi Nesher, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ironi Baka El Garbiya 0-2 Ironi Nesher
Original prediction
Ironi Baka El Garbiya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.4% | 63.5% | 23.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.0% | 21.8% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 32.6% | 14.7% | -17.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
23.1 pts
Projected Score
Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1–0 Ironi Nesher
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Ironi Baka El Garbiya
Probability
63.5%
Model confidence
63.5%
Ironi Baka El Garbiya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00