Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zenit 2 · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Irkutsk are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Zenit 2 are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLLD), averaging 2.75 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Zenit 2 hold a 40.7-point power-rating edge (30.6 v 71.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.6% in the Second League - Group 2, while Zenit 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zenit 2
Probability
82.6%
Model confidence
82.6%
Zenit 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/2.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.75/1.75