Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AA Iguaçu · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Iraty are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while AA Iguaçu are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 1.33 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 8 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and aA Iguaçu hold a 34.0-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 85.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Paranaense - 3, favouring AA Iguaçu with 15.1% confidence, a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AA Iguaçu
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
15.1%
AA Iguaçu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 1.33/0.00