FriendliesFriendlies
Wednesday, 10 June 2026Last updated 14:55
Iraq

Iraq

Home
LLL
02
Full time
Venezuela

Venezuela

Away
W
SeatGeek Stadium
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Venezuela33%
Iraq33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Venezuela
Win probability
Iraq
33%
Draw
33%
Venezuela
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Iraq
14
Venezuela
73
Defence
Iraq
1
Venezuela
91
Momentum
Iraq
0
Venezuela
100
Danger (xG)
Iraq
0.32
Venezuela
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Iraq)
0.32
avg per match
xG for (Venezuela)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Iraq)
2.75
avg per match
xG against (Venezuela)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
IraqIraq
LLLL
VenezuelaVenezuela
W

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Iraq33%
Draw33%
Venezuela33%

Venezuela leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Iraq head into this in Friendlies fixture at SeatGeek Stadium struggling for consistency (LLL), while Venezuela arrive in mixed form (W). Iraq have a 0% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 100% for Venezuela over 1 games.

Tactically, Venezuela hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Iraq defence (1/100), while Iraq's attack faces a watertight Venezuela backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Iraq have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Venezuela have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

Iraq have generated 0.47 xG per game recently while conceding 2.77 xG per match.

Venezuela have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Iraq to win with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Iraq 3333%, Draw 3333%, Venezuela 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Iraq 0Draws 01 Venezuela
Avg goals: 2.0
10 Jun 2026
Iraq
L02
Venezuela

Recent form

Iraq

Iraq

L
@ Senegal
26 Jun 2026
05
xG 0.2
L
@ France
22 Jun 2026
03
L
vs Norway
16 Jun 2026
14
xG 0.8
L
vs Venezuela
10 Jun 2026
02
Venezuela

Venezuela

W
@ Iraq
10 Jun 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Iraq vs Venezuela?

GoalVio's model predicts Iraq to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Iraq vs Venezuela?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Iraq vs Venezuela?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Iraq vs Venezuela?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more