
Iraq
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Venezuela
AwayFriendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesProbability breakdown
Venezuela leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Iraq head into this in Friendlies fixture at SeatGeek Stadium struggling for consistency (LLL), while Venezuela arrive in mixed form (W). Iraq have a 0% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 100% for Venezuela over 1 games.
Tactically, Venezuela hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Iraq defence (1/100), while Iraq's attack faces a watertight Venezuela backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.
Iraq have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Venezuela have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.
Iraq have generated 0.47 xG per game recently while conceding 2.77 xG per match.
Venezuela have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.
The GoalVio engine projects Iraq to win with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Iraq 3333%, Draw 3333%, Venezuela 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.
Head to head
Recent form
Iraq
Venezuela
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Iraq vs Venezuela?
GoalVio's model predicts Iraq to win with 33% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Iraq vs Venezuela?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.
Will both teams score in Iraq vs Venezuela?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Iraq vs Venezuela?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.