World Cup
Iraq
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Norway leads with 53% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Iraq head into this in World Cup fixture at Gillette Stadium struggling for consistency (LLL), while Norway arrive in strong form (LWWLW). Iraq have a 0% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 67% for Norway over 6 games.
Tactically, Norway hold the edge. Their elite attack (78/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Iraq defence (1/100), while Iraq's attack faces a leaky Norway backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.
Iraq have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Norway have been excellent on the road, winning all 2 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.
Iraq have generated 0.47 xG per game recently while conceding 2.77 xG per match. Norway have generated 1.32 xG per game recently while conceding 1.48 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 75% of recent matches.
Norway have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.
The GoalVio engine projects Norway to win with 53% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Iraq 2490%, Draw 2230%, Norway 5280%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.
Head to head
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Iraq
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Frequently asked questions
Who will win Iraq vs Norway?
GoalVio's model predicts Norway to win with 53% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Iraq vs Norway?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.
Will both teams score in Iraq vs Norway?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Iraq vs Norway?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.