IrapuatovsTepatitlán

Irapuato are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Irapuato hold a 38.0-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Irapuato holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.