GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Irapuato · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Irapuato are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Irapuato holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Irapuato

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Irapuato has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IrapuatoWWLDL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mineros de ZacatecasWLWWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IrapuatoMineros de Zacatecas
52.9Attack100.0
52.9Defence41.7
47.1Form66.7
51.0Power68.8
1.72xG1.70
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