Irapuatovs
Lobos ULMX
COMPLETEDMexico · Primera Premier · 9/27/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Irapuato · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Irapuato 3-0 Lobos ULMX
Original prediction
Irapuato
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.2% | 57.0% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.2% | 23.1% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 4.18 | 21.6% | 19.9% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Irapuato
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
57.0%
Irapuato has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80