GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/4/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Irapuato · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Irapuato are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Irapuato holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Irapuato

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Irapuato has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IrapuatoWDWDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Correcaminos UatLDLLL

GF 8 · GA 19 · avg 1.60/3.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
IrapuatoCorrecaminos Uat
52.9Attack91.7
52.9Defence33.3
47.1Form58.3
51.0Power62.0
1.87xG1.67
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