GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/31/2025, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Irapuato · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Irapuato are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWLW), averaging 2.25 scored and 2.25 conceded, while CDS Tampico Madero are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and CDS Tampico Madero hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Irapuato holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Irapuato

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

Irapuato has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IrapuatoLWLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 2.25/2.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 4/4
CDS Tampico MaderoWDWLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
IrapuatoCDS Tampico Madero
52.9Attack33.3
52.9Defence88.9
47.1Form44.4
51.0Power54.9
1.45xG1.16
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