GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/26/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Irapuato are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atlante FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IrapuatoLWWLW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Atlante FCWDLLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
IrapuatoAtlante FC
52.9Attack48.4
52.9Defence78.6
47.1Form63.5
51.0Power63.9
0.90xG1.30
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