IrapuatovsAlebrijes de Oaxaca

Irapuato are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Irapuato hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Irapuato holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.