Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Irao · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Irao are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Zestafoni are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Irao hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (61.8 v 41.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.5% in the Liga 3, while Irao holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Irao
Probability
69.5%
Model confidence
69.5%
Irao has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/3.00