GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 4/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Irao · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Irao are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lokomotivi Tbilisi are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Irao hold a 16.8-point power-rating edge (61.8 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.5% in the Liga 3, while Irao holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Irao

Probability

65.8%

Model confidence

17.5%

Irao has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IraoWWLWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotivi TbilisiDLDLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
IraoLokomotivi Tbilisi
58.8Attack31.4
68.6Defence56.9
58.8Form39.2
61.8Power45.0
1.73xG0.52
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