Iraovs
Dinamo Tbilisi II
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Liga 3 · 10/23/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Irao · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Irao 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi II
Original prediction
Irao
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 18:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.6% | 42.8% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.6% | 27.4% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.03 | 29.8% | 29.8% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.52 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Irao
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Irao has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
IraoLDLDL
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dinamo Tbilisi IIWLLWD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IraoDinamo Tbilisi II
54.2Attack51.4
59.7Defence52.8
48.6Form48.6
54.5Power52.3
1.67xG1.14