Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Irao · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Irao are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Betlemi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Irao hold a 37.7-point power-rating edge (61.8 v 24.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.3% in the Liga 3, while Irao holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Irao
Probability
88.4%
Model confidence
16.3%
Irao has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80