Iran U23vs
Korea DPR U23
COMPLETEDWorld · Asian Games · 9/23/2026, 5:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Iran U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Iran U23 1-4 Korea DPR U23
Original prediction
Iran U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 51.5% | 44.2% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 27.9% | 28.0% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 4.34 | 20.6% | 27.8% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Iran U23
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Iran U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/1.25