Iran U23vs
China PR U23
COMPLETEDWorld · Asian Games · 9/20/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Iran U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Iran U23 0-0 China PR U23
Original prediction
Iran U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 53.8% | 46.9% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.8% | 26.9% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.64 | 19.4% | 26.2% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Iran U23
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Iran U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40